Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.831415 4.570283 5.393595 6.376135 7.513746 8.786342 10.314466
2025-08-31 2.762213 3.706271 4.867654 6.389566 8.317990 10.665571 13.723348
2025-09-07 2.079503 3.082017 4.421379 6.315674 8.895018 12.249488 16.900027
2025-09-14 1.556733 2.523704 3.914072 6.016121 9.060671 13.247194 19.360301
2025-09-21 1.256692 2.205196 3.659363 5.987492 9.540248 14.658049 22.457143
2025-09-28 1.031866 1.948833 3.439999 5.954504 9.974910 16.008882 25.553662
2025-10-05 0.933576 1.877598 3.491338 6.333214 11.055646 18.385055 30.334986
2025-10-12 0.821362 1.757335 3.437151 6.521828 11.839845 20.359679 34.650346
2025-10-19 0.740400 1.677786 3.437285 6.793862 12.775948 22.635536 39.595608
2025-10-26 0.638365 1.535658 3.299634 6.798348 13.246656 24.181644 43.470163
2025-11-02 0.527027 1.350512 3.049782 6.558978 13.253470 24.939992 46.084885
2025-11-09 0.436260 1.190223 2.821925 6.326458 13.237751 25.641675 48.632606
2025-11-16 0.377687 1.093495 2.713518 6.322308 13.660343 27.168156 52.760346
2025-11-23 0.329260 1.010796 2.622203 6.340876 14.127680 28.811931 57.217230
2025-11-30 0.282033 0.919829 2.496876 6.269009 14.404496 30.120797 61.156551
2025-12-07 0.229356 0.800199 2.283174 5.971849 14.185798 30.470414 63.345785
2025-12-14 0.199053 0.736641 2.194253 5.943533 14.522468 31.907070 67.659340
2025-12-21 0.172900 0.678585 2.108887 5.910795 14.842983 33.330125 72.032854
2025-12-28 0.166682 0.682948 2.188696 6.287067 16.099628 36.717082 80.428394
2026-01-04 0.153523 0.660735 2.192508 6.474470 16.946180 39.321265 87.429669
2026-01-11 0.144373 0.650217 2.227414 6.744762 18.006036 42.435034 95.625664
2026-01-18 0.127795 0.607973 2.163477 6.749219 18.443013 44.265684 101.327247
2026-01-25 0.106810 0.542086 2.016562 6.511383 18.276223 44.790352 104.374354